Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LRC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-25 0.031881 0.036847 0.042346 0.048887 0.056462 0.064963 0.075235
2026-02-01 0.023201 0.029480 0.037124 0.047125 0.059887 0.075657 0.096675
2026-02-08 0.018543 0.025332 0.034217 0.046724 0.063924 0.086822 0.119748
2026-02-15 0.015388 0.022302 0.031904 0.046256 0.067245 0.096956 0.142449
2026-02-22 0.013425 0.020474 0.030777 0.046994 0.072009 0.109353 0.169750
2026-03-01 0.011675 0.018624 0.029252 0.046766 0.075092 0.119428 0.194719
2026-03-08 0.010059 0.016711 0.027308 0.045511 0.076240 0.126447 0.215573
2026-03-15 0.008728 0.015051 0.025507 0.044168 0.076940 0.132649 0.235681
2026-03-22 0.007982 0.014256 0.025004 0.044893 0.081150 0.145142 0.268193
2026-03-29 0.007267 0.013412 0.024295 0.045126 0.084457 0.156368 0.299811
2026-04-05 0.006629 0.012620 0.023567 0.045203 0.087434 0.167275 0.332180
2026-04-12 0.006132 0.012024 0.023115 0.045719 0.091264 0.180176 0.370060
2026-04-19 0.005744 0.011602 0.022963 0.046837 0.096499 0.196616 0.417735
2026-04-26 0.005120 0.010634 0.021633 0.045427 0.096441 0.202468 0.444226
2026-05-03 0.004682 0.009992 0.020877 0.045101 0.098584 0.213102 0.482486
2026-05-10 0.004284 0.009384 0.020118 0.044662 0.100410 0.223246 0.521023
2026-05-17 0.004029 0.009053 0.019901 0.045377 0.104868 0.239692 0.576325
2026-05-24 0.003725 0.008574 0.019306 0.045158 0.107152 0.251483 0.622214
2026-05-31 0.003378 0.007958 0.018336 0.043947 0.106942 0.257431 0.654611
2026-06-07 0.003063 0.007378 0.017380 0.042651 0.106358 0.262393 0.685208
2026-06-14 0.002907 0.007162 0.017250 0.043350 0.110796 0.280201 0.751613
2026-06-21 0.002735 0.006886 0.016946 0.043575 0.114056 0.295452 0.813419
2026-06-28 0.002569 0.006606 0.016600 0.043650 0.116933 0.310079 0.875646